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Match Result & BTTS – Poor Market Value

Big payouts; large odds. But are you really getting value for your bet?

With bigger winners coming in thick and fast for this market, as happened with the start of the Both Teams to Score market a few years ago, it is beginning to boom. However, taking a second look, we can see this is not as valuable a market as punters may be conned into thinking.

At first look at tonight’s game, Brighton v Watford, the match-result and BTTS market stands as follows:

Brighton win & BTTS 18/5 … Draw & BTTS 3/1 … Watford win & BTTS 4/1. 


Team to win & BTTS

If we take a look at Brighton to win & BTTS first – the market name suggest it’s two bets: brighton to win, and both teams to score. However! Looking again, if both teams were to score, that’s 1:1 minimum. If Brighton were to win, it would have to be 2:1. The same with Watford. This means that there is a third bet hiding in there – the over 2.5 market.

Looking at the odds for the 3 markets separately, we can really see if the likes of WilliamHill are doing you a favor or not.

Team to win Both teams to score Over 2.5 goals 3 markets accumulated Team to win & BTTS price % loss in price
Brighton & BTTS 8/5 4/6 10/11 7.27/1 18/5 50.5%
Watford & BTTS 9/5 4/6 10/11 7.91/1 4/1 49.5%


The Draw

This works on the same principals as above, except the game can end as a 1:1 draw, and therefore only needs over 1.5 goals.

Price of Draw Both teams to score Over 1.5 goals 3 markets accumulated Team to win & BTTS price % loss in price
Draw 21/20 4/6 1/4 3.27/1 3/1 8%


Therefore, maybe next time you should consider why the bookies are offering big prices for seemingly easy bets – the hidden bets.

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