Fulham FC vs Leeds United – match preview

True form H - A

image credit: adapted from Statto.com – true table

Home performance is pretty much even-stevens when it comes to both teams (Leeds being 13th-ranked with a return of 1.53 points p/game; Fulham being 14th-ranked with 1.50 points p/game). However, it is the ‘away’ performances which are a better indicator of why Leeds are perched higher in the Championship than their London-based opponents on Wednesday. Leeds have the 14th-ranked away performances in the Championship with a return of 1.06 points p/game from travels away from Elland Road; Fulham have a paltry return of 0.68 points p/game from their total of 18 away games this season. A little perspective here is that this return is worse than the away points p/game total (0.70 points p/game) that relegated Barnsley last season.

H def vs A att

Over the 18 home games that Fulham have played at Craven Cottage, they have conceded a grand total of 25 goals at an average of 1.39 goals p/game. On their travels away from LS11, Leeds United have scored 18 goals at an average of 1.00 goals p/game. At first glance this would seem to indicate that Leeds would fancy themselves to score at Craven Cottage against a poorer defence letting in +0.39 goals more than Leeds score. If you take into consideration the fact that Leeds’ away form is rampant during 2015 part of this campaign (ranked 2nd in the Championship over last six away games; 2.17 points p/game) and compare it to the abject recent form of Fulham in their last six games (0.83 points p/game and 1.67 goals conceded p/game) and you have further indicators that Leeds should be able to get at Fulham and rattle them.

Leeds have only failed to score once in their last six away games, the 2-0 reverse to Brighton; conversely, Fulham have failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their last six games and have conceded 11 goals in these games – including shipping five goals last time out against free-scoring Bournemouth.

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